Peer-Reviewed Publications:

"Party Brands and the Democratic and Republican National Committees, 1952-1976" Studies in American Political Development (forthcoming). 

"Truman Defeats Dewey: The Effects of Campaign Visits on Election Outcomes," Electoral Studies vol. 49 (October 2017) 49-64. With Brenton D. Peterson

"Disasters and Elections: Estimating the Net Effect of Damage and Relief in Historical Perspective," Political Analysis vol. 25, no. 2 (April 2017) 260-268. With Brenton D. Peterson and  Jeffery A. Jenkins.

Media Coverage: Monkey Cage.

"Measuring the Vice-Presidential Home State Advantage with Synthetic Controls," American Politics Research vol. 44, no. 4 (July 2016) 734-763. With Brenton D. Peterson.   

Media Coverage: Bloomberg, Chicago Tribune, Christian Science Monitor, FiveThirtyEightMonkey Cage, The New York Times, NewsweekNPR, US News and World Report.

"Southern Delegates and Republican National Convention Politics, 1880-1928," Studies in American Political Development vol. 29, no. 1 (April 2015) 68-88. With Jeffery A. Jenkins.

Media Coverage: Monkey Cage.

Editor-Reviewed Publications

"Party Leaders and Electoral Realignment: Democratic and Republican Southern Strategies, 1948-1968," The Forum vol. 15, no. 4 (2017) 631-653.


Book Projects:

National Party Organizations and Party Brands in American Politics

Republican Party Politics and the American South, 1865-1968 (with Jeffery A. Jenkins). Under contract at Cambridge University Press. 


Working Papers:

"Black-and-Tans vs. Lily-Whites: Measuring the Racial Composition of Republican Party Organizations in the South after Reconstruction, 1868-1952" (with Jeffery A. Jenkins) - revise and resubmit at Studies in American Political Development.

"Mobilization and Counter-Mobilization: The Mixed Effects of Campaign Visits in the 2016 Presidential Election" (with Brenton D. Peterson) - under review.


Work in Progress:

"Natural Disasters, 'Partisan Retrospection.' and U.S. Presidential Elections" (with Brenton D. Peterson and Jeffery A. Jenkins).

"Trump and the Party-In-Organization: Presidential Control of National Party Organizations."

"What's Your Excuse? Effects of Personal and Political Justifications for Flip-Flopping" (with Daniel Folsom and Emily Sydnor).

"Revisiting the Effect of Campaign Visits with Synthetic Controls: William Jennings Bryan and the 1896 Campaign" (with Brenton D. Peterson). 

"Process Tracing as Three Cornered Fights" (with Michael Poznansky). 

"Through Seneca Falls and Selma and Stonewall: Barack Obama and the Gay Rights Movement" (with Sidney M. Milkis).

Op-Eds, Commentary, and Miscellaneous

"No, the DNC didn't 'rig' the Democratic primary for Hillary Clinton," Washington Post - The Monkey Cage (November 4, 2017).

"How many votes could Hurricane Harvey cost Trump in Texas?" Washington Post - The Monkey Cage (August 29, 2017). With Brenton D. Peterson and Jeffery A. Jenkins.

"The Democratic and Republican National Committees in the Trump Era," CLIO - Newsletter of Politics & History vol. 26, no. 1 (2016-2017) 9-10.

"Why there's a battle royale to lead the Democratic Party, and what it means for the Trump era," Washington Post - The Monkey Cage (December 19, 2016).

"Without Tim Kaine, Hillary Clinton might have lost Virginia as well," Washington Post - The Monkey Cage (November 17, 2016). With Brenton D. Peterson.

"The Republican Party is coming apart. Here's what it can learn from the 1956 Democrats," Washington Post - The Monkey Cage (October 25, 2016).

"Reince Priebus vowed to punish Republicans who don't support Trump. It's an empty threat," Washington Post - The Monkey Cage (September 20, 2016).

"Managing Dissent," First Year 2017 - The Miller Center (August 25, 2016).

"The Democrats are surprisingly unified. That should help Hillary Clinton," Washington Post - The Monkey Cage (August 3, 2016). With Sidney M. Milkis.

"These 2 trends are what produced such a negative Republican Convention," Washington Post - The Monkey Cage (July 24, 2016). With Sidney M. Milkis.

"The Republican Party Loses Control," (with Jeffery A. Jenkins) in John Sides and Henry Farrell, The Science of Trump: Explaining the Rise of an Unlikely Candidate (The Monkey Cage: 2016).

"Vice-presidential candidates do win votes. But Mike Pence won't help Donald Trump win the election," Washington-Post - The Monkey Cage (July 15, 2016). With Brenton D. Peterson.

"Can a Veep Candidate Swing His or Her Home State?," Newsweek (June 26, 2016). With Brenton D. Peterson.

"How a swing state running mate could help Trump or Clinton win the White House," LSE - United States Politics and Policy Blog (June 21, 2016). With Brenton D. Peterson.

"GOP voters picked Trump. Party leaders aren't falling in line. Here's why that's surprising," Washington Post - The Monkey Cage (May 10, 2016). With Jeffery A. Jenkins.

"This research shows that vice-presidential candidates actually do win votes in their home states," Washington Post - The Monkey Cage (April 26, 2016). With Brenton D. Peterson.

"The Republicans' Rules Dilemma," The New West (April 24, 2016).

"Bernie Sanders Thinks the Democratic Primary Process "Distorts Reality". Does History Back This Up?" Washington Post - The Monkey Cage (April 17, 2016). With Jeffery A. Jenkins.

"The RNC's Secret Dinner About a Brokered Convention is No Surprise. Here's Why," Washington Post - The Monkey Cage (December 17, 2015).

"How Does the Republican Party Solve a Problem Like Donald Trump?," Washington Post - The Monkey Cage (August 18, 2015)

"Who Can Get Trump to Tone it Down? Reince Priebus is Trying," Washington Post - The Monkey Cage (July 13, 2015). With Jeffery A. Jenkins.

"Gay Marriage in U.S. State Legislatures," 2014 working paper. With Christian Short. 

"Obama Campagne is Juist Niet Nieuw," NRC Next, May 30, 2008.

"Campagne van Obama is Niet Vernieuwend," NRC Handelsblad, May 28, 2008.